← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 4/23/2026

Fire SlimesTier 1

at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 4/23/2026

decks
4 (7.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10 5-3-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.4% avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
51.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1259 · median 1224 · range 1029–1560 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029 Q1 1214 Q3 1416 1563
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Seiryuu 7.8% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.3
Water Luxem Assassin 5.9% 0
Wind Razorgale 5.9% 0
Fire Alice 3.9% 0
Luxem Mordred 3.9% 0
Water Crux Mage 3.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Fractal 3.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -0.9
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.9% 0
Fire Arcane 2.0% 0
Fire Crux Mage 2.0% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Suzaku 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.5% +0.9
Fire Tera Cleric 2.0% 0
Fire Tera Diao Chan 2.0% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 2.0% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 2.0% 0
Fractal 2.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.9% -1.8
Water Aetherwing 2.0% 0
Water Allies 2.0% 0
Water Astra Cleric 2.0% 0
Water Crux Assassin 2.0% 0
Water Genbu 2.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% +0.1
Water Neos 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Water Ravishing Mill 2.0% 0
Water Slimes 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.2% +1.9
Water Suited 2.0% 0
Water Tera Cleric 2.0% 0
Water Tera Kongming 2.0% 0
Water Tera Mage 2.0% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 2.0% 0
Wind Arcane 2.0% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 2.0% 0
Wind Silvie 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.9% +1.4
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.0% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Meteoric Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Undeniable Truth -1.00 0 1 0
Blissful Calling +1.00 1 0 0
Forest Cake -1.00 0 1 0
Slime King -1.00 0 1 0
Beastbond Boots +1.00 1 0 0
Fabricator Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Ghastly Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Lustrous Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Inferno Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Lost Providence +1.00 1 0 0
Cremation Ritual +1.00 1 0 0
Tricastles of Lucenia -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Red Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Baby Gray Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Magnificent Banquet +1.00 1 0 0
Twilight Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Disenchant +1.00 1 0 0
Pyretic Prognosis +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/48696/archetypes/Fire Slimes